Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Ohio Poll POTUS08 Results

Here is the latest Ohio Poll sponsored by the University of Cincinnati (PDF):
Cincinnati, OH--If the latest Ohio Poll gives an indication of the fall presidential race, Ohio may once again witness a tight battle for the state’s 20 electoral votes.

These findings are based on the latest Ohio Poll, conducted by the Institute for Policy Research at the University of Cincinnati. The Ohio Poll is sponsored by the University of Cincinnati. The Poll was conducted from February 21 through February 24, 2008.

2008 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: OBAMA VS. MCCAIN

The latest Ohio Poll asked registered voters their preference in a fall 2008 presidential match-up featuring Barack Obama (D) and John McCain (R).

Obama and McCain run virtually even among registered voters in this hypothetical match-up: Obama receives the support of 48 percent of registered voters, while 47 percent say they would vote for McCain and five percent are either undecided or plan to vote for another candidate.

2008 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: CLINTON VS. MCCAIN

The latest Ohio Poll asked registered voters their preference in a fall 2008 presidential match-up featuring Hillary Clinton (D) and John McCain (R).

This hypothetical match-up also reveals the potential for a tight race: McCain receives the support of 51 percent of registered voters, while 47 percent say they would vote for Clinton and two percent are either undecided or plan to vote for another candidate.

2008 PRESIDENTIAL RACE

Both trial heat match-ups reveal a gender gap, with a majority of women choosing Obama or Clinton and a majority of men choosing McCain.

These results provide an early snapshot of registered voter presidential preferences. Candidate support may change once the party nominations are made, the fall presidential ballot is set, and as voters learn more about the candidates, their respective campaign messages and issue positions.

The Ohio Poll will regularly monitor developments in this race through the remainder of the 2008 election season.
The Obama-McCain result is pretty interesting actually. It is a toss-up and there are 14% of independents who are still undecided. McCain would need to grab them. Of course, we don't know how many conservative votes Maverick LOST in southwestern Ohio with his anti-Willie antics yesterday... McCain has a difficult challenge facing him: he needs to draw the shallow pool of undecided indies while not ticking off the conservatives. Good luck with that!