Tuesday, February 05, 2008

WMD Blast: Super Tuesday Edition

I needed to disconnect from the world last night, so I missed a few calls last night including one from a Member of Congress. One of the items that would have been discussed, I can tell from the voicemail, is a few predictions for today's electoral action. So, let me get to that; but first, I want to remind everyone that BizzyBlog's Tom Blumer and I will take to the internet airwaves tonight at 7PM Eastern for returns and analysis. To tune in just click on the graphic over in the sidebar.

On with the show...

Georgia

DEMS: Obama should do very well here.

REPS: This one will be close...a matter of turnout. Romney should do well in the "urban" counties; Huckabee and McCain will battle it out everywhere else.

Alabama

DEMS: Polls are showing this one as very close, but I expect Obama to get the edge here.

REPS: This will be a battle between McCain and Huckabee. If the Huckster wins anywhere, it will be here.

Connecticut:

DEMS: It won't be a blowout, but Obama should do fairly well here too...

REPS: This is McCain's to lose.

Delaware:

DEMS: To close to call, but since the Big Mo is going Obama's way, that's how I'll call it...

REPS: Again, this one is McCain's to lose.

Illinois:

DEMS: Home state win for Barack Obama

REPS: The McCain Express rolls on...

Massachusetts:

DEMS: Surprisingly, this one just might go for Sen. Clinton. Which ought to demonstrate the decline of the Hero of Chappaquiddick and Mr. Reporting For Duty.

REPS: McCain, even though it is Romney's "Home" state...should be close though.

Missouri

DEMS: Too close to call on polling. I'm going to give Obama an edge here though...

REPS: Huckabee may surprise us here too. But it is too close to call on polling. I'm going to give it to Romney out of pity...

California:

DEMS: Obama should edge Sen. Clinton here...

REPS: McCain should pull it out here. RCP has McCain with the slightest of edges in CA, but I think it is bigger than the polling has indicated.

New York:

DEMS: Sen. Clinton will crush Obama in her "home" state...

REPS: If McCain loses here, he should quit...

Tennessee

DEMS: Hillary edges Obama here unless the Edwards voters go to Obama...then it will be too close to call.

REPS: it is possible for Romney to win here, but it isn't likely. McCain will win, but it will be fairly close.

Arizona:

DEMS: Hillary should take Obama here.

REPS: It won't be as big as Obama's IL win; but Arizona's son, Maverick McCain, will win his home state.

New Jersey:

DEMS: This one will be close, but Sen. Clinton has the edge here.

REPS: McCain's to lose...

Utah:

DEMS: If Nevada is any indication, then Sen. Clinton should take the prize here.

REPS: If Romney doesn't win here, he should quit.

Arkansas:

DEMS: I'm going to give this one to Sen. Clinton, but I won't be surprised to see Obama take it.

REPS: If The Huckster doesn't win his home state, he should quit.

Minnesota, Colorado, Montana, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Alaska, North Dakota:

More research required...

UPDATE: AP News Alert:
CHARLESTON, W.Va. (AP) Mike Huckabee has won the Republican caucuses in West Virginia.
Nothing like playing to stereotype...