Thursday, March 06, 2008

Butler County Blues

Just because I feel like indulging in some humor today, I'll examine the "liklihood" that Butler County really has turned blue.

According to stats provided by Modern Esquire in his piece over at BSB, and I trust his numbers and won't bother to verify them, Butler Democrats went from 31% of the Butler county vote to 55%. This number is meaningless because the number of votes cast was different between the two election cycles, but that's a gain of 24%.

Now we bring in the Rush Limbaugh Effect courtesy of CNN's PoliticalTracker blog (via NRO's CampaignSpot):
Early exit polling shows 10 percent of the voters in Ohio's Democratic Primary identified themselves as Republican, along with 22 percent who said they were independents. It was the same story in Texas: 10 percent of the voters in the Democratic primary identified themselves as Republican, along with 25 percent who said they were independents.
Knock off 10% and Butler County Democrats could be considered as having 45% of the vote...which is still an impressive increase, but hardly enough to turn the county blue. And I suspect that the number of Republicans voting for Hillary in Butler county is higher than 10%...

I'm sure we can dig deeper in to the numbers and find the real answer to this riddle, but my gut reaction is to laugh at the thought that Democrats have taken over the county...

UPDATE: Listen up, Jenny: It ain't your job to figure out why people voted the way they did. Leave that crap to the pundits...like me and Modern Esquire... Your nanny-state Democrat partisan hack agenda is starting to really creep me out. Ken Blackwell didn't investigate why Democrats voted for Maverick McCain in 2000... Why is it that when liberals try to pick the Republican candidate, it's democracy in action; but when Republicans do it, it's sinister? Riddle me that, Jenny, if you can...