Thursday, June 19, 2008

About that Rasmussen Poll

Here is a poll you won't hear about. Why? Because the Obamessiah isn't the winner...
John McCain and Barack Obama remain in a statistical dead heat in the key swing state of Ohio, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Buckeye State.

McCain holds a statistically insignificant one-point lead over Obama, 44% to 43%, among likely voters. Seven percent (7%) favor a third-party candidate and 7% are undecided.
This is probably the more accurate of the polls we've seen on the race in Ohio.

Since we've been focused on energy so much lately, let me throw this out there too:
Also, early this week McCain and Obama sparred over the need for offshore drilling to help curb rising gas prices. Seventy-one percent (71%) of Ohio voters agree with McCain’s position that the ban on offshore drilling should be lifted, while 18% disagree.
And now, some interesting set of numbers:
Interestingly nearly half of Ohio voters (48%) think Obama is too inexperienced to be president, although 44% don’t agree and nine percent (9%) are undecided.

McCain now leads by three percentage points among men (45% to 42%), but he and Obama each have 43% of the female vote.
The only number in the above set that I question is the female vote...maybe there will be somthing in the demographics that will shed some light on that...

The Purple State statistic:
Perhaps reflecting his maverick image, McCain has a 44% to 38% edge over his Democratic opponent among moderate voters. More predictably, 71% of conservatives support McCain while 77% of liberals back Obama.
This looks very good forMcCain...

And now, the grain of salt:
Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.