Wednesday, September 29, 2010

CHARTS: Ohio Governor Race

Source: Rasmussen Reports
September 27, 2010

50% -- John Kasich (R)

42%  -- Ted Strickland (D)

3%  -- Some Other Candidate

4%  -- Not Sure
September 13, 2010

50% -- John Kasich (R)

43% -- Ted Strickland (D)

2%  -- Some Other Candidate

5%  -- Not Sure
August 30, 2010

47% -- John Kasich (R)

39% -- Ted Strickland (D)

7%  -- Some Other Candidate

7%  -- Not Sure
August 16, 2010

48% -- John Kasich (R)

40% -- Ted Strickland (D)

6%  -- Some Other Candidate

7%  -- Not Sure
August 2, 2010

45% -- John Kasich (R)

42% -- Ted Strickland (D)

6%  -- Some Other Candidate

7%  -- Not Sure
July 19, 2010

48% -- John Kasich (R)

43% -- Ted Strickland (D)

3%  -- Some Other Candidate

5%  -- Not Sure
June 29, 2010

47% -- John Kasich (R)

40% -- Ted Strickland (D)

3%  -- Some Other Candidate

10%  -- Not Sure
June 3, 2010

47% -- John Kasich (R)

42% -- Ted Strickland (D)

4%  -- Some Other Candidate

8%  -- Not Sure
May 5, 2010

46% -- John Kasich (R)

45% -- Ted Strickland (D)

3%  -- Some Other Candidate

6%  -- Not Sure
March 30, 2010

46% -- John Kasich (R)

45% -- Ted Strickland (D)

2%  -- Some Other Candidate

7%  -- Not Sure
March 4, 2010

49% -- John Kasich (R)

38% -- Ted Strickland (D)

6%  -- Some Other Candidate

7%  -- Not Sure
February 5-6, 2010

47% -- John Kasich (R)

41% -- Ted Strickland (D)

5%  -- Some Other Candidate

8%  -- Not Sure


Favorables
Strickland

27% -- Very Favorable

19%  -- Somewhat Favorable

19% -- Somewhat Unfavorable

33% -- Very Unfavorable

3% -- Not sure


Kasich

32% -- Very Favorable

19%  -- Somewhat Favorable

13% -- Somewhat Unfavorable

24% -- Very Unfavorable

12% -- Not sure

Analysis:

Kasich has led this race all year long and the favorable numbers tell a similar story.  Kasich is liked by more folks and not liked by fewer numbers with more people not sure what to think about Kasich than Strickland.  Basically, there aren't enough voters who haven't made up their mind what they think about these two candidates to make that significant of a change in the numbers.

This is still a tight race and anything can happen on E-Day, but if I'm Team Kasich I have to feel pretty good about the likely outcome...