Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Total Votes Cast Shows Romney More Viable Than Huckabee, More Dems Voting....

Check this out...
From Time.com:
I'm up in NYC, where we are struggling to get dead-tree TIME out the door. As is so often the case, our own data wizard Jackson Dykman has come up with the most fascinating bit of data within all these mountains of numbers coming out of Super Tuesday:

TOTAL VOTES CAST

Clinton: 50.2% (7,347,971)

Obama: 49.8% (7,294,851)


Really, could it have been any closer?

UPDATE: Swampland commenters ask; Jackson answers:

Since you asked
Total votes cast in 21 GOP contests yesterday among McCain, Romney and Huckabee:

McCain: 43.1% (3,611,459)
Romney: 35.4% (2,961,834)
Huckabee: 21.5% (1,796,729)


For grand totals, vastly more Democrats than Republicans voted yesterday;

Democratic votes for Clinton and Obama: 14,622,822 (63.6%)
Republican votes for McCain, Romney and Huckabee: 8,370,022 (36.4%)


Put another way, the Clinton/Obama race drew 76% more voters than the McCain/Romney/Huckabee race.
UPDATE2: Jackson's on a roll:

Here are the numbers just for the 19 states where both parties had elections yesterday
Obama/Clinton voters: 14,460,149
McCain/Romney/Huckabee voters: 8,367,694

Or, 73% more Democratic voters than republican voters.

This seems to me to indicate that Romney is more viable, and that the Conservative vote is not showing up...Many folks are staying out of the primaries, and presumably are going to wait and grudgingly vote for whomever the R nominee will be to take on Hillary. However, this shows a lack of motivation on the Republican side, which should worry many.

It does show that the Dem race is very close, and once again, it shows that most people think Huck is a shmuck and is over 1 million votes behind Romney....