Sunday, November 02, 2008

Ask WMD: WMD Mailbag Edition

I need to clear out the reader mailbag a bit. Sorry for the delay in responding, but as you can see we've been on the road a LOT the last few days...

Let's get this party started, shall we?
Sherrod Brown's wife said the state employee's 'should' investigate Joe the Plumber. She said it on Bill Maher Friday. She was also insulting to 'normal' people. They did not advertise that she was his wife but good grief.
I didn't see the show in question, but I would not be surprised to hear Connie Schultz-Brown say something like that. She is a member of the 527 Media and the wife of a socialist Member of Congress. This is what the fascists on the Left are all about and I can't think of a better reason to oppose them than the right to privacy.

Remember, Joe the Plumber did not seek Barack Obama out...Obama came to his home. The first rule of politics is to never take a question that you don't already know what the answer is... Obama made his own bed and now has to sleep in it. That Connie Schultz thinks that Joe the Plumber ought to be investigated for having the audacity to ask a candidate a question illustrates more about her and, quite frankly, her profession than it does about Joe.

Next question...
Hi, I love your blog and have a question. Are you able to sense if local's are motivated to vote McCain? I live out in [REDACTED-name of town] and I have a son at [REDACTED-name of college] and one is a Junior at [REDACTED-name of high school]. My son at [REDACTED] tells me that everyone around him and in his apartment complex are for McCain. He said they can't talk about it openly or in class. They talk about it in private. My son that is a Junior at [REDACTED] tells me that some students (mainly African Americans) wear Obama t-shirts every day plus talk about it all the time. The other students don't talk about it but appear to be for McCain. I think there is a hostility from the non-Obama students because they know they would be ridiculed as idiots if they said McCain. My kids are typical. They would not be considered conservative. My curiosity and thoughts are that these polls might be totally wrong. I think there are a lot of people that might just be saying their voting Obama and aren't. I think some people may resent the bias and having Obama shoved on us. I think some of us are seething and voting McCain. Sorry, this was too lengthy. Do you see this or am I just seeing what I want?
Okay...lots of good stuff to tackle there...

Let's start with the college kids. College is an indoctrination center. Politics is everything and it is everywhere. Right-leaning students do take a risk of being alienated by the peers and worse from faculty and administration. Am I surprised that there is a groundswell of private support for McCain on campus? Nope. Most of these kids have been raised right and understand the game playing out on campus. The conservatives have learned the secret signals and handshakes in order to recognize one another, but the best news is that in a couple of days it will all be over. I think the liberals would be surprised at just how badly their fascist efforts on college campuses are backfiring.

At the high school level, the social pressures are going to be even greater. While very few high schoolers are old enough to vote, EVERYTHING that can be used to divide their peers in to groups will be used to do so. As usual, the kids who take the "uncool" position will outnumber the "cool" kids, but they will continue to fear saying so because they will be ridiculed. This is normal behavior, sadly...

The polls are wrong. They continue to oversample Democrats (and I blame Rush Limbaugh's Operation Chaos for making that problem even worse) not only in the national tracking polls, but in the state polls as well. I continue to question the geographical sampling on most of these polls as well. Historically, the best national and state polling comes from Rasmussen Reports and the best Buckeye state (not ACORN state) polling comes from the Ohio Poll sponsored by the University of Cincinnati (the last Ohio Poll before election day is coming out tomorrow). The demographics on these polls have to be scrutinized before you can get any real information out of them and you have to examine the questions very carefully as well.

Rush Limbaugh has been saying all along that he would tell us when it was time to panic. Now, I don't know for sure if McCain will pull this thing off, but I am not getting any indication that there is a landslide in the works. I do predict that McCain will win Ohio and I think he will do so by a slightly bigger margin than Bush/Cheney '04. I also predict that it will be a LATE night here in Ohio on Election Day because there will be a fear of getting the call wrong.

At any rate...we'll just have to wait and see. Thanks for the questions...keep them coming!

UPDATE: Welcome to all you sick freaks coming to WMD from Glenn Beck's site!

Sean Update
Here is an interesting link relative to the college students and voting
Youth Political Engagement Grows